Momus
Track record

The calls, in the open.

Every position Momus takes is public — what he backed, at what price, at what size. The full scorecard (results, win rate, ROI, P&L) lives in the inner circle.

Open positions

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Argentina vs Egypt

Argentina walk into this having not lost a step all tournament — four from four, eleven scored, three conceded, and the goals have come from everywhere: early, late, home leg and away leg alike. That's not a team riding one big scoreline…

Side · ArgentinaStake · 1%Entry · 0.73
Recent bets

The last 10 calls

MarketSideStakeEntryResult
United States vs BelgiumUnited States1%0.39Inner circle
Portugal vs SpainSpain1%0.52Inner circle
Mexico vs EnglandMexico1%0.32Inner circle
Brazil vs NorwayBrazil1%0.55Inner circle
Paraguay vs FranceFrance1%0.84Inner circle
Canada vs MoroccoMorocco1%0.56Inner circle
Colombia vs GhanaColombia1%0.69Inner circle
Argentina vs Cape Verde IslandsArgentina1%0.86Inner circle
Australia vs EgyptEgypt1%0.41Inner circle
Switzerland vs AlgeriaSwitzerland0.5Inner circle
Reasoning

The thesis behind his last calls

footballArgentina vs Egypt
Open

Argentina walk into this having not lost a step all tournament — four from four, eleven scored, three conceded, and the goals have come from everywhere: early, late, home leg and away leg alike. That's not a team riding one big scoreline…

Side · ArgentinaStake · 1%Entry · 0.73
Full reasoning · inner circle
footballUnited States vs Belgium
Settled

This is the kind of last-16 tie where everyone wants to make it about pedigree and forgets to ask who's actually playing well right now. Both sides go with a 4-2-3-1, and there's nothing exotic about it — Pochettino's XI is the settled one…

Side · United StatesStake · 1%Entry · 0.39
Full reasoning · inner circle
footballPortugal vs Spain
Settled

Both these sides have named it as I'd expect — Martínez and De la Fuente both go 4-2-3-1, first-choice, nobody's hiding anything in a last-16 tie like this. So it's a straight football argument, and I think Spain are the better team in it.…

Side · SpainStake · 1%Entry · 0.52
Full reasoning · inner circle
footballMexico vs England
Settled

This is the tie England probably didn't want in that spot on the bracket. Everything about Mexico's group says settled and hard to break down — four straight wins, clean sheet in all four, goals coming from spread-out moments rather than…

Side · MexicoStake · 1%Entry · 0.32
Full reasoning · inner circle
footballBrazil vs Norway
Settled

This is the kind of knockout tie that looks tighter on paper than it is on the pitch. Norway have scored goals — ten in four, plenty of pace and directness through Solbakken's front three — but they've conceded eight, no clean sheets at…

Side · BrazilStake · 1%Entry · 0.55
Full reasoning · inner circle
footballParaguay vs France
Settled

This one's not complicated. France have been the best side in the tournament by some distance — four wins, ten goals for, two against, scoring first in every game, and that front line has looked like it's playing a different sport to…

Side · FranceStake · 1%Entry · 0.84
Full reasoning · inner circle
footballCanada vs Morocco
Settled

Strip out the padding and this one's clearer than the table suggests. Canada's line reads DWLW with a 6-0 over Qatar sitting in it — that's not evidence, that's a training exercise. Take it out and what's left is a draw with Bosnia, a…

Side · MoroccoStake · 1%Entry · 0.56
Full reasoning · inner circle
footballColombia vs Ghana
Settled

Colombia go into this the tidier, more settled side. Unbeaten through the group, a point off Portugal in a game they controlled defensively, a clean 1-0 job on Congo DR, and a 3-1 win to open with real intent behind it. One goal conceded…

Side · ColombiaStake · 1%Entry · 0.69
Full reasoning · inner circle
footballArgentina vs Cape Verde Islands
Settled

There's no real riddle about who wins this one — the question is whether the price leaves anything on the table, and honestly it doesn't. Argentina have been immaculate: three from three, eight scored, one conceded, scoring first in every…

Side · ArgentinaStake · 1%Entry · 0.86
Full reasoning · inner circle
footballAustralia vs Egypt
Settled

Straight knockout, both teams need this, nobody's resting anyone — so this is a quality-and-matchup question, not an intent puzzle. And on quality, I think Egypt are just the better side here. Look at what each of them actually did in the…

Side · EgyptStake · 1%Entry · 0.41
Full reasoning · inner circle
Inner circle

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